Sunday 29 July 2012

389 MoUs but only 40 projects!

Post economic liberalisation, major states like Maharashtra, Gujarat, Karnataka, Madhya Pradesh, Tamil Nadu, etc have arranged global investors meet on a regular basis. Hundreds of MoUs are signed during this melas. These kind of melas, as observed by me over the years, have failed to materialise the investment the host governments were looking for.

A recent study on the MoUs signed by the Karnataka government in its 2010 Global Investors meet has proved the above point. The follow up study indicates that of the 389 MoUs signed during the meet only 40 projects have been implemented so far. This indicates a PF (Project Fructification) ratio of 1:10!

The 389 MoUs were expected to bring in fresh investment of Rs 3,92,000 crore and generate lakhs of employment opportunities. Instead after two years, what the state got was just 40 projects worth Rs 21,178 crore.

Unabated by this failure, this year in June 2012, the state government signed over 730 MoUs worth Rs 7,60,000 crore in the two day Global Investors Meet. Only time will tell how much of these MoUs will fructify into projects.

Sunday 22 July 2012

Government responding to Investors sentiments

From the projex (project investment) point of view, the decision of the Indian government to set up a a project clearance board chaired by the Cabinet secretary, for review and issue of one-time clearances for infrastructure projects was a right step. Hope the role of the board will not be limited only to clearing the projects but also ensuring that bulk of the cleared projects are implemented with the the stipulated time schedule. Otherwise, eventually the role of the Board will get reduced to that of Board of Approval (BoA), which after clearing nearly 600 SEZs, now meets occassionally to grant an extension of time period for execution of a SEZ or to accept the surrender of SEZ proposals cleared earlier.

The domestic manufacturers of power equipment are happy with the decision of the Indian government to impose 21 per cent duty on imports of power equipment. However, the million dollar (yuan) question is whether the domestic suppliers will be able to meet the requirement of power project promoters in time? Power project promoters have cautioned that costlier imported equipment will certainly push up electricity tariffs.

During the week (15 July to 21 July 2012) in the manufacturing sector, major projex news emanated from the refinery, aluminium and automobile sectors.

With IOC agreeing to come on board, HPCL has decided to take up a nine million tpa greenfield refinery at Barmar in Rajasthan. The refinery has a long history. ONGC, which proposed to set up the refinery in 2005, but the Rajasthan government’s un-investor friendly fiscal policies made ONGC to abandon its proposal. 

While Bharat Aluminium Company (BALCO) is facing land hurdle in Chhattisgarh in the form of a petition filed in the court seeking investigation into the land given to the company by the Chhattisgarh Government allegedly at a very low price, NALCO plans to expand its capacity by acquiring a stake in Indonesia’s Ashan Aluminum (Inalum) at a sum of Rs 8,000 crore.

Despite falling demand for automobile projects in the domestic markets, the automobile companies have not stopped their capacity expansion plans. Further, India continues to attract foreign auto majors even at this juncture.

The UK based Triumph Motorcycles has reportedly sought land for its proposed Rs 850 crore projex proposal. An MoU for the new plant with an initial capacity of 2.5 lakh motorcycles per annum was signed in the recently concluded global investors’ meet (GIM 2012). The proposed manufacturing plant would be operational by 2015. With the state government grappling with the political turmoil currently, the project is certain to take some time to take off.

Isuzu Motors is planning to set up a green field manufacturing unit in India. The company will invest over Rs 1,000 crore for venturing into India's small commercial vehicle and multi-utility vehicle segment. Isuzu is currently negotiating with the Tamil Nadu, Andhra Pradesh and Gujarat government for locating its new factory.

Ford India has augmented the diesel engine production capacity at its plant in Maraimalainagar, near Chennai. The plant can now produce 3.4 lakh engines a year – up from 2.5 lakh. It can also make two lakh cars annually.

800 MW added to India’s generation capacity

During the week, Tata Power completed the Unit II (800 MW) of its Mundra ultra mega power project (UMPP) in Gujarat. Unit I was commissioned in March 2012. According to the company sources, the thermal power generation capacity of the company now stands at 5,247 MW. If one adds the hydro, wind and solar capacity of 852 MW, the total generation capacity of Tatas adds up to 6,099 MW.

In the Nuclear power sector, after the commissioning of the Kudankulam projects (phase 1), the Indian government has signed signed a protocol with the Russian Federation, on 17 July 2012 for funding two new units at the Kudankulam Nuclear Power Project in Tamil Nadu. The total cost of the project is estimated at Rs 32,000 crore. 

Three airport projects are on the verge of completion

After a long pause, we are hearing some good news from the aviation infrastructure sector, On 17 July 2012, Arjun Munda, Chief Minister of Jharkhand laid the foundation stone for construction of an international airport at Deoghar at a cost of Rs 350 crore. The airport will be built on a 675-acre plot by 2014.  

The modernised Chennai airport is waiting for our Prime Minister to dedicate the project to the nation. The Rs 2,015 crore (Initial cost Rs 1,808 crore) modernisation was handled by the state owned Airport Authority of India. The project scope included construction of a new domestic terminal building, extension of the existing Anna international terminal and building a new runway across the Adyar River. The passenger handling capacity of the Chennai airport has now shot up from 9 million to 23 million per annum. 

While the air cargo complex at Mangalore airport, built by the Airports Authority of India, is likely to be commissioned soon, the modernised Netaji Subhash Chandra Bose airport at Kolkatta is expected to become operational for domestic airlines from October 2012. The trial run of the new terminal, whch has a capacity to handle 54,000 passengers per day, was conducted on 15 July 2012 by the Airport Authority of India.

In the Surface transport infrastructure sector, the Punjab government approved the Rs 10,300 crore Ludhiana Metro project on 17 July 2012. The two corridors metro with a total length of 29 km will be implemented in five years through a SPV, to be set up shortly by the state government.

The Public-Private Partnership Appraisal Committee (PPPAC) cleared 8 new road projects entailing a total investment of Rs 8,356 crore. These projects will now go for financial bidding. Rajasthan, Uttar Pradesh, Karnataka and Jammu & Kashmir are the beneficiary states.
 
Quote of the week
 
"Foreign politicians and magazines are merely mirroring what many Indian critics have been saying for years. If you do not like the image that you see in the mirror, do not blame the mirror. Blame yourself" - Swaminathan S Ankleshwar Aiyar (ET 18-07-2012)

Monday 16 July 2012

Fresh Projex: Animal Spirit Invisible

Fresh investment in June 2012

Absence of big ticket projects indicated the missing animal spirit in the Indian projex arena. The month, June 2012 was not much different from May 2012 in terms of startup projex. According to ProjectsToday.com in all the month saw a total of 653 start-ups worth Rs 32,225 crore, as against 606 startups worth Rs 37,752 crore during May 2012.

The Manufacturing sector, which is performing awfully below its potential for the last couple of years, accounted for almost 45 per cent share in the total investment announced during the month. The sector attracted 96 projects worth Rs 14,453 crore. A Rs 6,000 crore, one million tpa capacity fertiliser project of Nuziveedu Seeds in Tripura and a couple of cement projects (Rs 2,500 crore of projex) accounted for bulk of the fresh projex in this sector.

The infrastructure segment attracted 490 start ups (Total projex: Rs 11,715 crore). However, of the 490 projects only a couple were of mega size and these were owned by government agencies. This included, Delhi-Chandigarh Expressway Project of NHAI and a proposal of Gujarat Maritime Board to develop a shipyard with a capacity of 15,000 DWT at Dahej in Bharuch district of Gujarat.

Of the 35 new power projects were announced in June 2012, non were of mega size. Among the new power projects, the two notable projects announced by Beta Wind Farm were: a Rs 965 crore power project (156 MW) in Tirunelveli district of Tamil Nadu and a Rs 588 crore  project (95 MW) in Anantapur district of Andhra Pradesh.


With Reserve Bank of India, reluctant to reduce the interest rates and the government not able to pep up the investment environment, the lull period in fresh projex is expected to remain for atleast another couple of months.

Projex: project expenditure or capital expenditure.
ProjectsToday.com is a Mumbai based research outfit which monitors over 45,000 projects across major sectors in India.
One crore = Ten million